Match Info

USL League One

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ruoff Mortgage Stadium (Fort Wayne, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fort Wayne		New York Cosmos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.70	4.00
	1.62	3.7	4.2
	1.69	3.96	4.27
	1.69	4.03	4.38	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.15
	1.64	3.84	4.37
	1.63	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.56)	3.83 ↓ (4)	4.22 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fort Wayne
54.8%

Draw
23.7%

New York Cosmos
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

22.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

24.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fort Wayne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

New York Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fort Wayne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Fort Wayne - New York Cosmos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 5. Sproat R. 4. Dias T. (C) 13. Rempel M. 12. Gafar K. 6. Jordan J. 86. Armas J. 23. Thomas J. 11. Healy T. 24. Lacey K.	26. Garcia J. (G) 28. Milovanov J. 25. Chavez J. 6. Holt A. 5. Cabrera N. 12. Shome S. 15. Ramos O. 19. Jawneh L. 8. Spengler A. 7. Ljucovic F. 13. Guenzatti S. (C)
Substitutes
10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R. 20. Burns N. 96. Echevarria A. (G) 33. Hagaman T. 41. Musa J. 18. Nieto E. 9. Oyetunde D. 2. Smith J.	4. Chilaka M. 29. Del Valle B. (G) 17. Galazzini D. 18. Koffi C. 20. Mendonca N. 14. Puentes A. 11. Zielonka N.
Coaches
Avery M.	Corti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', Cabrera N. 🟨,
28', Jordan J. 🟨,
34', Ramos O. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Jawneh L. ⚽, Shome S. (A),
45+2', 0 - 2, Chavez J. ⚽, Spengler A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Lacey K. ↓, Becher R. ↑,
46', Cabrera N. ↓, Chilaka M. ↑,
47', 0 - 3, Guenzatti S. ⚽, Spengler A. (A),
50', Rempel M. 🟨,
52', Chavez J. 🟨,
66', 1 - 3, Becher R. ⚽, Armas J. (A),
67', Ramos O. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
67', Gafar K. ↓, Oyetunde D. ↑,
67', Jordan J. ↓, Awoudor C. ↑,
71', 1 - 4, Jawneh L. ⚽, Shome S. (A),
72', Dias T. ↓, Musa J. ↑,
74', Armas J. 🟨,
81', Armas J. ↓, Nieto E. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 4, Awoudor C. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Jawneh L. ↓, Galazzini D. ↑,
90+3', Ljucovic F. ↓, Mendonca N. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

New York Cosmos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fort Wayne is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fort Wayne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
02.09.26	Fort Wayne - Richmond Kickers	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Fort Wayne	1:4 ✺
15.08.26	Fort Wayne - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	AV Alta - Fort Wayne	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Fort Wayne - Union Omaha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL
- New York Cosmos
USL League One
02.09.26	New York Cosmos - Sarasota Paradise	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Union Omaha - New York Cosmos	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - New York Cosmos	3:3 ✺
19.08.26	Corpus Christi - New York Cosmos	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	New York Cosmos - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
28.03.26	New York Cosmos - Fort Wayne	2:0

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