Match Info

USL League One

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Hinchliffe Stadium (Paterson, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	New York Cosmos		Sarasota Paradise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.50	3.25
	1.95	3.4	3.1
	2.01	3.53	3.27
	2.04	3.65	3.28	Watch
	1.97	3.45	3.15
	2	3.38	3.27	Watch
	1.97	3.4	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.35)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	3.21 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Cosmos
45.8%

Draw
26.1%

Sarasota Paradise
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Cosmos's performance.

Sarasota Paradise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarasota Paradise might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Cosmos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarasota Paradise could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

New York Cosmos - Sarasota Paradise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Garcia J. (G) 28. Milovanov J. 25. Chavez J. 4. Chilaka M. 5. Cabrera N. 12. Shome S. 15. Ramos O. 19. Jawneh L. 8. Spengler A. 7. Ljucovic F. 13. Guenzatti S.	1. Sutton A. (G) 2. Burlew R. 4. Watters D. 5. Sogaard A. 36. Rosa A. 8. Walker A. 18. Krueger B. 27. O'Dwyer C. 16. Rodriguez A. 17. Bolanos J. 32. Terzaghi E.
Substitutes
29. Del Valle B. (G) 17. Galazzini D. 6. Holt A. 20. Mendonca N. 14. Puentes A. 33. Sidoel D. 11. Zielonka N.	50. Brulinski D. 7. Bryant E. 13. Fredrickson T. (G) 28. Gall R. 24. Kiingi K. 19. McLaughlin G. 61. Spengler J. 20. Tainio M. 3. Valentine R.
Coaches
Corti D.	Elovaara M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Walker A. 🟨,
33', Bolanos J. 🟨,
39', Chavez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Krueger B. ⚽, Rosa A. (A),
66', Bolanos J. ↓, Gall R. ↑,
66', O'Dwyer C. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
73', Ramos O. ↓, Sidoel D. ↑,
73', Garcia J. 🟨,
77', 0 - 2, Rosa A. ⚽, Bryant E. (A),
79', Shome S. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
79', Cabrera N. ↓, Puentes A. ↑,
79', Terzaghi E. ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
79', Burlew R. ↓, Kiingi K. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Jawneh L. ⚽, Sidoel D. (A),
88', Sogaard A. ↓, Valentine R. ↑,
89', Ljucovic F. 🟨,
90+6', Bryant E. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).

In recent matches, New York Cosmos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sarasota Paradise is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sarasota Paradise may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, New York Cosmos has had a series of away games.

New York Cosmos could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, New York Cosmos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Cosmos
USL League One
29.08.26	Union Omaha - New York Cosmos	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - New York Cosmos	3:3 ✺
19.08.26	Corpus Christi - New York Cosmos	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	New York Cosmos - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Richmond Kickers - New York Cosmos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TTWWL
- Sarasota Paradise
USL League One
22.08.26	Union Omaha - Sarasota Paradise	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Sarasota Paradise - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Charlotte Independence - Sarasota Paradise	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	One Knoxville - Sarasota Paradise	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Sarasota Paradise - Miami	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
30.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - New York Cosmos	2:1

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