Match Info

USL League One

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Lancaster Municipal Stadium (Lancaster, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	AV Alta		Fort Wayne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.50	2.50
	2.35	3.35	2.55
	2.27	3.55	2.89
	2.58	3.57	2.48
	2.20	3.35	2.85
	2.34	3.52	2.80	Watch
	2.24	3.25	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.35)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	2.68 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AV Alta
39.4%

Draw
26.5%

Fort Wayne
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Fort Wayne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

AV Alta - Fort Wayne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Smith D. (G) 2. Ortiz C. 44. Pehlivanov K. 16. Ceja E. 12. Relerford N. 20. Antwi G. 6. Lay O. 21. Villalobos J. (C) 99. Bahena Jr C. 10. Ibarra M. 7. Desdunes J.	1. Schipmann B. (G) 6. Jordan J. 4. Dias T. (C) 41. Musa J. 2. Smith J. 86. Armas J. 10. Awoudor C. 12. Gafar K. 11. Healy T. 18. Nieto E. 21. Becher R.
Substitutes
9. Acuna J. 5. Alassane M. 19. Anderson C. 18. Aoumaich A. 30. Gonzalez M. (G) 24. Higareda S. 4. Pajaro M. 52. Ramos S. 15. Winum M.	96. Echevarria A. (G) 8. Garay J. 22. Hernandez A. 9. Oyetunde D. 7. Ricol L. 5. Sproat R. 23. Thomas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Desdunes J. ⚽,
45+1', Smith J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Villalobos J. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Ibarra M. ⚽, Desdunes J. (A),
59', Jordan J. 🟨,
65', Gafar K. ↓, Ricol L. ↑,
65', Nieto E. ↓, Garay J. ↑,
74', Antwi G. ↓, Alassane M. ↑,
76', Bahena Jr C. ↓, Aoumaich A. ↑,
76', Ibarra M. ↓, Acuna J. ↑,
76', Awoudor C. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
77', Smith J. ↓, Oyetunde D. ↑,
84', Villalobos J. ↓, Pajaro M. ↑,
84', Desdunes J. ↓, Winum M. ↑,
86', Relerford N. 🟨,
87', Oyetunde D. 🟨,
90', 3 - 0, Acuna J. ⚽, Aoumaich A. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Alta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Alta has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42
13	AV Alta	29	8	8	13	35:42	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AV Alta FC
USL League One
05.08.26	Naples - AV Alta	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Richmond Kickers - AV Alta	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	AV Alta - Westchester SC	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	One Knoxville - AV Alta	2:3 ✺
15.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTWL
- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
01.08.26	Fort Wayne - Union Omaha	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Spokane Velocity - Fort Wayne	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Fort Wayne - Greenville Triumph	3:0 ✺
15.07.26	One Knoxville - Fort Wayne	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Fort Wayne - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
30.05.26	Fort Wayne - AV Alta	0:0

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