Match Info

USL League One

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: CHI Memorial Stadium (East Ridge, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Chattanooga Red Wolves		New York Cosmos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.75	4.33
	1.58	3.85	4.50
	1.67	4.21	4.13
	1.67	4.32	4.18	Watch
	1.64	4.20	4.05
	1.74	3.85	4.27	Watch
	1.62	3.75	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.5)	3.99 ↓ (4.1)	4.25 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chattanooga Red Wolves
55.5%

Draw
22.9%

New York Cosmos
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

21.9%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21.2%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

New York Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga Red Wolves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves - New York Cosmos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 2. Adewole T. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 10. Bentley M. 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 6. Wessels W. 23. Lelin Y. 14. Hernandez P. (C) 7. Hernandez O.	30. Stephani T. (G) 5. Cabrera N. 4. Chilaka M. 6. Holt A. 2. Morabito M. 8. Spengler A. 7. Ljucovic F. 15. Ramos O. 19. Jawneh L. 13. Guenzatti S. 18. Koffi C.
Substitutes
24. Apolinar R. 19. Donoho N. 40. Engmann C. 12. Jerez R. (G) 66. Knapp M. 9. Mercer G. 4. Vaughan J.	3. Acosta S. 22. Bohui P. 25. Chavez J. 17. Galazzini D. 26. Garcia J. (G) 28. Milovanov J. 33. Sidoel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Hernandez P. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Adewole T. ⚽, Kinzner E. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Guenzatti S. ⚽, Koffi C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Morabito M. ↓, Galazzini D. ↑,
49', Galazzini D. 🟨,
56', 2 - 2, Cabrera N. ⚽,
60', Hernandez P. ↓, Knapp M. ↑,
60', Kelly-Rosales A. ↓, Vaughan J. ↑,
60', Wessels W. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
61', 3 - 2, Lelin Y. ⚽, Hernandez O. (A),
76', Koffi C. ↓, Bohui P. ↑,
76', Ayimbila J. ↓, Apolinar R. ↑,
76', Ramos O. ↓, Sidoel D. ↑,
76', Galazzini D. ↓, Milovanov J. ↑,
77', 3 - 3, Spengler A. ⚽, Milovanov J. (A),
82', Jawneh L. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
86', Knapp M. 🟨,
90+1', Apolinar R. 🟨,
90+4', Bentley M. ↓, Donoho N. ↑,
90+8', Bohui P. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

New York Cosmos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chattanooga is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
19.08.26	Sarasota Paradise - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Fort Wayne - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	1:3 ✺
29.07.26	Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves	5:2 ✺
25.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLW
- New York Cosmos
USL League One
19.08.26	Corpus Christi - New York Cosmos	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	New York Cosmos - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Richmond Kickers - New York Cosmos	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	New York Cosmos - Boise	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Westchester SC - New York Cosmos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLL

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