Match Info

USL League One

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Ruoff Mortgage Stadium (Fort Wayne, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fort Wayne		Chattanooga Red Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.40	2.95
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.06	3.62	3.06
	2.09	3.76	3.08	Watch
	2	3.5	3
	2.05	3.46	3.08
	2.1	3.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.35)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	3 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fort Wayne
43.9%

Draw
25.9%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fort Wayne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fort Wayne's performance.

Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fort Wayne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 6. Jordan J. 4. Dias T. (C) 41. Musa J. 13. Rempel M. 18. Nieto E. 86. Armas J. 12. Gafar K. 11. Healy T. 10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R.	1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 2. Adewole T. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 10. Bentley M. 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 6. Wessels W. 23. Lelin Y. 20. Mensah R. 14. Hernandez P. (C)
Substitutes
20. Burns N. 96. Echevarria A. (G) 8. Garay J. 33. Hagaman T. 22. Hernandez A. 9. Oyetunde D. 2. Smith J. 5. Sproat R. 23. Thomas J.	24. Apolinar R. 12. Jerez R. (G) 66. Knapp M. 30. Lombardi A. 9. Mercer G. 4. Vaughan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Adewole T. 🟨,
15', Rempel M. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Becher R. ⚽, Armas J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Armas J. 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Lelin Y. ⚽,
69', Gafar K. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
69', Jordan J. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
70', Lelin Y. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
70', Mensah R. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
77', Kelly-Rosales A. ↓, Knapp M. ↑,
77', Wessels W. ↓, Vaughan J. ↑,
81', Awoudor C. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Mercer G. ⚽,
86', Rempel M. ↓, Oyetunde D. ↑,
87', Nieto E. ↓, Garay J. ↑,
89', Ayimbila J. ↓, Apolinar R. ↑,
90+4', Garay J. 🟨,
90+5', Knapp M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Fort Wayne is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Chattanooga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fort Wayne could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fort Wayne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
08.08.26	AV Alta - Fort Wayne	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Fort Wayne - Union Omaha	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Spokane Velocity - Fort Wayne	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Fort Wayne - Greenville Triumph	3:0 ✺
15.07.26	One Knoxville - Fort Wayne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
08.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	1:3 ✺
29.07.26	Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves	5:2 ✺
25.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:4 ✺
15.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
11.04.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Fort Wayne	0:1

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