Match Info

USL League One

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Fitzpatrick Stadium (Portland, ME)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Portland Hearts of Pine		Fort Wayne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.50	2.37
	2.55	3.25	2.38
	2.56	3.65	2.58
	2.43	4.05	2.43	Watch
	2.35	3.95	2.35
	2.5	3.74	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.28)	3.63 ↑ (3.35)	2.43 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Hearts of Pine
37%

Draw
25.2%

Fort Wayne
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.7%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26.7%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Fort Wayne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Portland Hearts of Pine - Fort Wayne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morse H. (G) 6. Mohamed M. 44. Faye S. 22. Evans B. 26. Hata E. 18. Barbosa D. 8. Poon-Angeron M. (C) 21. Georgallides K. 24. Felipe 98. Kidd M. 9. Camara A.	1. Schipmann B. (G) 6. Jordan J. 4. Dias T. (C) 41. Musa J. 13. Rempel M. 18. Nieto E. 2. Smith J. 12. Gafar K. 11. Healy T. 10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R.
Substitutes
25. Espinosa E. 16. Gonzalez D. 66. Green K. 11. Kamara J. 4. Letayf D. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 10. Wright O.	96. Echevarria A. (G) 24. Lacey K. 17. Neidlinger L. 9. Oyetunde D. 5. Sproat R. 23. Thomas J.
Coaches
Murphy B.	Avery M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Healy T. ⚽, Jordan J. (A),
24', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
34', Camara A. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Awoudor C. ⚽, Smith J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Nieto E. 🟨,
58', Poon-Angeron M. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
58', Faye S. ↓, Green K. ↑,
58', Georgallides K. ↓, Kamara J. ↑,
58', Felipe ↓, Wright O. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Healy T. ⚽, Awoudor C. (A),
70', Awoudor C. ↓, Neidlinger L. ↑,
76', Healy T. ↓, Lacey K. ↑,
76', Smith J. ↓, Oyetunde D. ↑,
77', 0 - 4, Lacey K. ⚽, Dias T. (A),
79', Barbosa D. ↓, Letayf D. ↑,
84', Dias T. 🟨,
86', 1 - 4, Wright O. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Gafar K. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
87', Musa J. ↓, Sproat R. ↑,
90+1', Wright O. 🟨,
90+5', Neidlinger L. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Fort Wayne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43:53	-10	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
22.08.26	Richmond Kickers - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Corpus Christi	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLLT
- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
15.08.26	Fort Wayne - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	AV Alta - Fort Wayne	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Fort Wayne - Union Omaha	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Spokane Velocity - Fort Wayne	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Fort Wayne - Greenville Triumph	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
06.05.26	Fort Wayne - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:0

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