Match Info

USL League One

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Werner Park (Papillion, NE)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Union Omaha		New York Cosmos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.75	6.00
	1.41	4.66	7.36
	1.34	5.49	7.2	Watch
	1.39	4.25	7.25
	1.37	5.24	6.81	Watch
	1.34	4.50	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)	4.82 ↑ (4.4)	6.87 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Omaha
67.4%

Draw
19.2%

New York Cosmos
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

20.4%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19.2%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

New York Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Union Omaha - New York Cosmos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Nuhu R. (C) 19. Lawrence C. 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. 27. Jiba R. 16. Wootton L. 6. Guediri S. 20. Ors Navarro S. 12. Vargas M. 17. Gutierrez D. 21. Gomez A.	30. Stephani T. (G) 28. Milovanov J. 4. Chilaka M. 6. Holt A. 5. Cabrera N. 12. Shome S. 15. Ramos O. 19. Jawneh L. 8. Spengler A. 7. Ljucovic F. 13. Guenzatti S. (C)
Substitutes
7. Billhardt A. 9. Botello Faz P. 8. Gabriel Cabral 77. Gavilanes A. 99. Jensen C. (G) 3. Malone B. 22. Tekiela K.	22. Bohui P. 25. Chavez J. 26. Garcia J. (G) 20. Mendonca N. 14. Puentes A. 33. Sidoel D. 11. Zielonka N.
Coaches
Candela V.	Corti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Vargas M. ⚽, Wootton L. (A),
24', Wootton L. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Guenzatti S. ⚽, Spengler A. (A),
40', Kallman B. 🟨,
44', Ramos O. 🟨,
45+1', Lawrence C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gutierrez D. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
46', Gomez A. ↓, Botello Faz P. ↑,
60', Owusu S. 🟨,
61', Wootton L. ↓, Gabriel Cabral ↑,
61', Vargas M. ↓, Tekiela K. ↑,
65', Ramos O. ↓, Sidoel D. ↑,
66', Cabrera N. ↓, Puentes A. ↑,
70', Lawrence C. ↓, Malone B. ↑,
74', Shome S. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
82', Jawneh L. ↓, Bohui P. ↑,
82', Milovanov J. ↓, Chavez J. ↑,
90+4', Guediri S. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

Union Omaha is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

New York Cosmos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Union Omaha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Union Omaha is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Union Omaha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Omaha
USL League One
26.08.26	Naples - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Union Omaha - Sarasota Paradise	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Union Omaha - Richmond Kickers	5:1 ✺
08.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Fort Wayne - Union Omaha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWWW
- New York Cosmos
USL League One
22.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - New York Cosmos	3:3 ✺
19.08.26	Corpus Christi - New York Cosmos	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	New York Cosmos - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Richmond Kickers - New York Cosmos	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	New York Cosmos - Boise	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
27.05.26	New York Cosmos - Union Omaha	1:2

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