Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 March 2023, Thursday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)


	Fortaleza		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.75	13	Watch
	1.29	5.25	10
	1.29	5.2	12.5
	1.27	4.7	10
	1.28	5.08	13.32
	1.27	4.5	12
	1.29	5.1	12	Watch
	1.27	4.8	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.37)	4.92 ↑ (4.02)	11.73 ↑ (9.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
73%

Draw
19%

Deportivo Maldonado
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

22.8%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

22%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Fortaleza - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Maldonado will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Fortaleza is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.02.23	Fortaleza - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.02.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.02.23	Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	3:0 ✺
14.02.23	Bahia - Fortaleza	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
07.02.23	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWWL
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.02.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Boston River	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.02.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.02.23	Cerro - Deportivo Maldonado	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
06.02.23	Plaza Colonia - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
23.02.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Fortaleza	0:0

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