The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortaleza 37.8%
Draw 33.8%
Llaneros de Guanare 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
28.2%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
19.7%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Llaneros de Guanare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros de Guanare than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llaneros de Guanare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortaleza - Llaneros de Guanare Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Fortaleza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Llaneros is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Llaneros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-8.
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