Match Info

Date: 30 October 2020, Friday


	Bogotá		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	3.1
	2.33	2.55	3.4
	2.38	2.8	3
	2.49	2.9	3.36
	2.4	2.9	3
	2.46	2.67	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.19)	2.76 ↑ (2.73)	3.21 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogotá
38.2%

Draw
33.2%

Fortaleza
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

33.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

23%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bogotá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bogotá - Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Primera B (Apertura to Quadrangular) and 8 in the zone Promotion to Primera B (Apertura to Quadrangular)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bogotá won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Bogotá won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
25.10.20	Bogotá - Tigres	1:3 ✺
18.10.20	Real San Andrés - Bogotá	2:1 ✺
13.10.20	Bogotá - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
07.10.20	Boca Juniors - Bogotá	1:3 ✺
03.10.20	Bogotá - Orsomarso	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWW
- Fortaleza EC
Copa do Brasil
25.10.20	São Paulo - Fortaleza	3:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera B
24.10.20	Fortaleza - Real San Andrés	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
21.10.20	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.10.20	Fortaleza - Palmeiras	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.10.20	Cartagena - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
12.11.19	Bogotá - Fortaleza	0:3
24.10.19	Fortaleza - Bogotá	3:1
11.08.19	Bogotá - Fortaleza	2:0
21.02.19	Fortaleza - Bogotá	2:0
11.08.18	Bogotá - Fortaleza	0:3
03.03.18	Fortaleza - Bogotá	0:0
01.07.17	Bogotá - Fortaleza	1:0

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