The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortaleza 50.2%
Draw 28.6%
Corinthians 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
27.1%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
27.4%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corinthians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corinthians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.2%
0%
14.8%
Fortaleza - Corinthians Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Fortaleza (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Fortaleza (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza will win
(23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fortaleza will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 14 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Brenno (G) 14. Mancuso E. 33. Britez E. (C) 3. Avila G. 16. Diogo Barbosa 5. Pereira M. 88. Lucas Sasha 7. Pochettino T. 26. Breno Lopes 27. Bareiro A. 80. Herrera J.
1. Hugo Souza (G) 5. Andre Ramalho 25. Caca 13. Gustavo Henrique 49. Andre 27. Breno Bidon 7. Maycon (C) 21. Matheus Bidu 61. Dieguinho 56. Gui Negao 29. Vitinho
Substitutes
18. Deyverson 34. Gazal 13. Kuscevic B. 91. Lucas Crispim 9. Lucero J. 20. Matheus Rossetto 96. Moises 30. Pierre 2. Tinga 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 36. Weverson 22. Yago Pikachu
11. Angel Romero 26. Angileri F. 19. Carrillo A. 40. Felipe Longo (G) 46. Hugo 47. Joao Pedro 31. Kayke 70. Martinez J. 14. Raniele 37. Ryan 43. Talles Magno 3. Torres F.
Coaches
Palermo M.
Dorival Junior
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Pochettino T. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
19', Bareiro A. 🟨,
38', Herrera J. 🟨,
45+2', Pereira M. 🟨,
45+4', Britez E. 🟨,
45+4', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bareiro A. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
46', Breno Lopes ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Herrera J. ⚽,
63', Deyverson 🟨,
67', Gui Negao ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
67', Caca ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
67', Breno Bidon ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Andre ⚽, Vitinho (A),
73', Andre Ramalho ↓, Raniele ↑,
76', Pochettino T. ↓, Moises ↑,
80', Herrera J. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
81', Pereira M. ↓, Pierre ↑,
82', Vitinho ↓, Kayke ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
Fortaleza is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Corinthians has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruno Pacheco
(Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Shoulder Injury)
Lucca Prior
(Overload)
Marinho
(Ankle Injury)
Rodrigo
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M.
(Knee Injury)
Matheuzinho
(Yellow Cards)
We predict that Fortaleza will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Corinthians - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.54%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Brenno (G) 
Mancuso E. 
Bareiro A. 
Kuscevic B. 
Carrillo A. 
Martinez J. 
Torres F. 
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