Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Hinestroza Romana J. A. (Col)


	Fortaleza		Palestino

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7.75
	1.4	4.4	8.5
	1.37	4.75	9.2
	1.35	4.2	8
	1.39	4.6	8.1	Watch
	1.38	4.5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)	4.49 ↑ (4.14)	8.24 ↓ (9.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
67.7%

Draw
20.9%

Palestino
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

22.3%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

21.7%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Fortaleza - Palestino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fortaleza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Palestino is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Palestino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fortaleza have a series of home games.

In this match Fortaleza is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fortaleza to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
01.04.23	Fortaleza - Ceará	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.23	Fortaleza - Ceará	2:3 ✺
25.03.23	Fortaleza - Ferroviário Fortaleza	4:0 ✺
22.03.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Fortaleza	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
19.03.23	Fortaleza - Ferroviário Fortaleza	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
01.04.23	Palestino - Deportes Magallanes	3:2 ✺
19.03.23	Unión Española - Palestino	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.03.23	Cobresal - Palestino	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
03.03.23	Palestino - Huachipato	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Universidad Católica - Palestino	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWL

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