Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Cartagena		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.7	2.6
	2.95	2.55	2.63
	2.9	2.75	2.49
	3.12	2.85	2.69
	2.9	2.75	2.55
	2.88	3.02	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.7)	2.77 ↑ (2.71)	2.58 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
31.3%

Draw
33.1%

Fortaleza
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

33.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

23.8%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cartagena - Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion to Primera B (Apertura to Quadrangular)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cartagena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
17.10.20	Cartagena - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
13.10.20	Bogotá - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.20	Ponferradina - Cartagena	0:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
07.10.20	Cartagena - Real San Andrés	2:3 ✺
04.10.20	Cartagena - Tigres	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWLT
- Fortaleza EC
Copa do Brasil
14.10.20	Fortaleza - São Paulo	3:3 ✺
Colombian Primera B
12.10.20	Fortaleza - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.10.20	Coritiba - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
08.10.20	Orsomarso - Fortaleza	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.10.20	Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
09.11.19	Cartagena - Fortaleza	2:2
29.10.19	Fortaleza - Cartagena	1:3
25.08.19	Fortaleza - Cartagena	1:0
09.03.19	Cartagena - Fortaleza	2:0
25.08.18	Fortaleza - Cartagena	1:2
01.04.18	Cartagena - Fortaleza	1:1
23.07.17	Fortaleza - Cartagena	0:1

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