Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 19

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)

Referee: Andres Pabon Reales R. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Fortaleza CEIF		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.35
	2.98	3.05	2.42	Watch
	3.01	3.14	2.45
	2.96	3.18	2.43	Watch
	2.9	3	2.4
	2.99	3.05	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.43)	3.12 ↑ (3)	2.41 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
31.6%

Draw
29.8%

Atlético Bucaramanga
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

31%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

29.7%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Bucaramanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 16. Cajares J. 6. Diaz Y. 18. Balanta J. 15. Cuero S. 10. Velasquez J. 14. Pico L. (C) 20. Orozco C. 8. Navarro S. 33. Arroyo A. 9. Herrera J.	12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 23. Romana C. 25. De Las Salas C. 14. Mosquera J. 6. Charrupi G. 20. Zarate A. 15. Batalla E. 10. Sambueza F. (C) 4. Garcia J. 9. Caicedo B.
Substitutes
17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 32. Barragan M. (G) 7. Martinez J. 5. Medina Obando J. 3. Ramirez D. 21. Ramirez S. 26. Rivas Torres R. D. 24. Salas J. 29. Wilke T.	21. Charrupi F. 7. Londono K. 16. Matheus L. (G) 5. Murrilo A. 27. Pons L. 3. Rea M. 11. Salazar J.
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Perea W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Garcia J. 🟨,
20', Velasquez J. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Herrera J. ⚽, Arroyo A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Orozco C. ↓, Balanta Carabali K. A. ↑,
59', Batalla E. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Charrupi G. ↓, Pons L. ↑,
66', Romana C. 🟨,
76', Mosquera J. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽, Salas J. (A),
85', Herrera J. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
90+1', Navarro S. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
90+1', Cajares J. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Sambueza F. ⚽, Romana C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.

In recent matches, Fortaleza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bucaramanga has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bucaramanga	11	6	5	0	20:10	10	23
16	Fortaleza	13	1	8	4	14:19	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
25.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWTT
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
25.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
20.04.26	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	5:0 ✺
07.04.26	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
29.11.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:2
26.11.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Fortaleza CEIF	1:2
26.09.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1
13.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Fortaleza CEIF	4:0
09.11.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0
22.04.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:2

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