Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - CLAUSURA - QUADRANGULAR - ROUND 3

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday


	Real Cartagena		Fortaleza CEIF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	3	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.33	3.15	2.38
	3.33	3.09	2.38
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	3.04	3.06	2.24
	2.95	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.97)	3.1 ↑ (3.03)	2.31 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cartagena
30.2%

Draw
29.8%

Fortaleza CEIF
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

30.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

29.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Real Cartagena - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Cartagena will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duque J. (G) 16. Artola I. 8. Barragan M. 25. Castillo M. 23. Cuero J. 19. Garcia M. 6. Gigli L. 9. Gomez S. 10. Ramirez Mario 11. Rivas W. 14. Trujillo J.	1. Castillo J. (G) 16. Ampudia J. 25. Bermudez Correa J. A. 9. Blanco J. 18. Herrera J. 27. Londono Y. 19. Moralez A. 10. Navarro S. 13. Pajaro R. 3. Rivera D. 11. Rodriguez N.
Substitutes
12. Arroyave C. (G) 7. Frigerio M. 18. Gonzalez L. 20. Kestler I. 4. Mera D. 15. Murillo J. 26. Pajaro M.	15. Cuero S. 12. Garcia Jordan (G) 23. Guevara J. 8. Hinestroza J. 4. Pertuz J. 14. Pico L. 24. Salas J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Cartagena won 0.

Now both teams are in good shape.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Real Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
22.10.23	Real Cartagena - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
16.10.23	Leones - Real Cartagena	2:1 ✺
11.10.23	Leones - Real Cartagena	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Real Cartagena - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
03.10.23	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWTW
- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera B
22.10.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	2:1 ✺
16.10.23	Boca Juniors de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
11.10.23	Atlético Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá	2:1 ✺
29.09.23	Patriotas - Fortaleza CEIF	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
20.09.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Real Cartagena	1:0
11.06.23	Real Cartagena - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1
19.05.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Real Cartagena	4:0
16.04.23	Real Cartagena - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0
07.08.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Real Cartagena	3:1
01.02.22	Real Cartagena - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1
06.08.21	Real Cartagena - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1

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