Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	3	Watch
	2.12	3.65	3	Watch
	2.38	3.6	2.91
	2.38	3.62	2.76	Watch
				Watch
	2.1	3.83	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.38)	3.7 ↑ (3.62)	2.97 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
42.5%

Draw
25.6%

Magdeburg
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	25%	33.3%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Magdeburg (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 15. Oberdorf T. 2. Daland J. 4. Schmidt K. 5. Heyer M. 8. El Azzouzi A. 6. Breithaupt T. 19. Iyoha E. 10. Rasmussen C. 24. Muslija F. 13. Itten C.	1. Reimann D. (G) 16. Mathisen M. 38. Hyrylainen L. 5. Muller T. 27. Hercher P. 21. Michel F. 8. Ulrich L. 17. Nollenberger A. 22. Zukowski M. 29. Ghrieb R. 23. Atik B.
Substitutes
23. Appelkamp S. 9. Celar Z. 30. de Wijs J. 44. Egouli E. 3. Lenz C. 1. Lotka M. (G) 7. Raimund L. 22. Schmidt D. 46. Suso S.	7. Bockhorn H. 39. Diawara K. 4. Dzogovic E. 25. Gnaka S. 3. Hoti A. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 45. Onaiwu A. 10. Pesch N.
Coaches
Anfang M.	Sander P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Itten C. ⚽,
40', Breithaupt T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Zukowski M. 🟨,
70', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
74', Rasmussen C. 🟨,
74', Ghrieb R. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
74', Rasmussen C. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
82', El Azzouzi A. ↓, Suso S. ↑,
82', Hyrylainen L. ↓, Pesch N. ↑,
82', Iyoha E. ↓, Lenz C. ↑,
83', Nollenberger A. ↓, Gnaka S. ↑,
83', Michel F. ↓, Bockhorn H. ↑,
85', Heyer M. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Lenz C. (Own goal),
89', Heyer M. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
89', Muslija F. ↓, Egouli E. ↑,
90', Hercher P. ↓, Dzogovic E. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Itten C. ⚽, Schmidt D. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 3.

Fortuna is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Magdeburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Muscle Injury) Lunddal V. (Foot Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Magdeburg: Heber D. (Muscle Injury) Hugonet J. (Knee Injury) Loric S. (Leg Injury) Muller T. (Knee Injury) Musonda L. (Yellow Cards) Zukowski M. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna: Zimmermann M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Magdeburg: Chahed T. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 2.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 2.7:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Fortuna Düsseldorf - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
09.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Kaiserslautern	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
09.11.25	Magdeburg - Paderborn	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Bochum - Magdeburg	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Illertissen - Magdeburg	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.25	Magdeburg - Preußen Münster	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
18.05.25	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:2
20.12.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg	2:5
19.05.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg	3:2
16.12.23	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:3
German DFB Pokal
05.12.23	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2
German 2 Bundesliga
27.01.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg	3:2
16.07.22	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2

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