Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.9
	2.3	3.5	2.78
	2.35	3.75	3
	2.28	3.57	3.01	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.88
	2.34	3.44	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.05)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	2.89 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
41.1%

Draw
26.5%

Dynamo Dresden
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

25.4%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

26.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Dynamo Dresden (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 25. Zimmermann M. 15. Oberdorf T. 44. Egouli E. 3. Lenz C. 19. Iyoha E. 8. El Azzouzi A. 14. Alexandropoulos S. 23. Appelkamp S. 13. Itten C. 20. Ljubicic M.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 13. Pauli J. 39. Keller T. 19. Rossipal A. 18. Wagner R. 6. Amoako K. 7. Ceka J. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 20. Bobzien B. 9. Vermeij V.
Substitutes
6. Breithaupt T. 9. Celar Z. 2. Daland J. 39. Eze B. 11. Hettwer J. 1. Lotka M. (G) 27. Paulina J. 7. Raimund L. 29. Sauck K.	29. Boeder L. 33. Daferner C. 2. Faber K. 16. Froling N. 8. Herrmann L. 30. Kutschke S. 10. Lemmer J. 37. Mesenholer D. (G) 42. Muller F.
Coaches
Ende A.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Itten C. ⚽, Kastenmeier F. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Iyoha E. ⚽, Appelkamp S. (A),
45+1', Lenz C. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 3 - 0, Raimund L. ⚽, Itten C. (A),
63', Ceka J. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
63', Amoako K. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
64', Zimmermann M. ↓, Daland J. ↑,
73', Hauptmann N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
73', Rossipal A. ↓, Faber K. ↑,
73', Iyoha E. ↓, Hettwer J. ↑,
78', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Lemmer J. ⚽, Bobzien B. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 1.

Fortuna is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Dynamo Dresden has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Fortuna: Anhari H. (Shoulder Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Lunddal V. (Inactive) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schmidt K. (Knee Injury) de Wijs J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Bethke E. (Muscle Injury) Grill L. (Knee Injury) Sapina V. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Keller T. (Inactive)

We predict that Dynamo Dresden will win today's game, with odds of 2.85.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	SG Dynamo Dresden	7	1	2	4	9:15	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
18.04.26	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hertha Berlin	2:5 ✺
14.03.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
18.04.26	Dynamo Dresden - Bochum	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Nürnberg - Dynamo Dresden	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Dynamo Dresden - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Dynamo Dresden - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
30.11.25	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
22.04.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Dynamo Dresden	2:2
21.11.21	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
28.04.18	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2
27.11.17	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Dynamo Dresden	1:3
16.04.17	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1

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