Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2	3.9	3.3
	2.02	3.55	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.8	3.61
	2.03	3.81	3.35	Watch
	2	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.11	3.61	3.31	Watch
	2.15	3.65	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.13)	3.67 ↑ (3.55)	3.32 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
45.8%

Draw
25.7%

Holstein Kiel
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

24.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Düsseldorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	41.2%	11.8%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 15. Oberdorf T. 44. Egouli E. 2. Daland J. 16. Tanaka S. 7. Raimund L. 8. El Azzouzi A. 23. Appelkamp S. 24. Muslija F. 10. Rasmussen C. 13. Itten C.	1. Weiner T. (G) 23. Rosenboom L. 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 47. Tolkin J. 49. Ugoh I. 28. Meffert J. 8. Tohumcu U. 20. Kapralik A. 19. Harres P. 7. Skrzybski S. (C)
Substitutes
14. Alexandropoulos S. 6. Breithaupt T. 11. Hettwer J. 5. Heyer M. 20. Ljubicic M. 1. Lotka M. (G) 12. Lunddal V. 27. Paulina J. 29. Sauck K.	43. Borges L. 6. Ivezic M. 21. Krumrey J. (G) 25. Muller M. 29. Niehoff N. 40. Parduzi L. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S. 10. Therkelsen J.
Coaches
Anfang M.	Walter T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Tolkin J. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
10', Meffert J. 🟨,
16', Rasmussen C. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
24', Tohumcu U. 🟨,
26', Muslija F. 🟨,
44', Skrzybski S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Harres P. ⚽, Kapralik A. (A),
60', Skrzybski S. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
61', Raimund L. ↓, Lunddal V. ↑,
65', Daland J. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
65', Muslija F. ↓, Paulina J. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Itten C. ⚽, Tanaka S. (A),
79', 1 - 2, Nekic I. ⚽, Tohumcu U. (A),
90+1', Kapralik A. 🟨,
90+1', Heyer M. 🟨,
90+2', Ugoh I. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
90+2', Tohumcu U. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fortuna could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Fortuna: Anhari H. (Shoulder Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schmidt K. (Knee Injury) Suso S. (Red Card)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Injury) Davidsen K. (Yellow Cards) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Kelati A. (Muscle Injury) Komenda M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna: Zimmermann M. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Holstein Kiel - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
04.04.26	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hertha Berlin	2:5 ✺
14.03.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Bochum	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
05.04.26	Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
09.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
11.05.24	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1
10.12.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	0:1
06.05.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	3:0
29.10.22	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2
06.02.22	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
20.08.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	2:2

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