Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Paderborn		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.8	4
	1.8	3.65	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.85	4.26
	1.83	3.85	4.06	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4
	1.82	3.74	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)	3.74 ↓ (3.98)	4.08 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
51.8%

Draw
25.1%

Dynamo Dresden
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

23%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.3%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paderborn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	28.6%	21.4%

Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Seimen D. (G) 25. Scheller T. 20. Gotze F. (C) 4. Brackelmann C. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 2. Muller R. 9. Batzner N. 30. Marino S.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 13. Pauli J. 42. Muller F. 19. Rossipal A. 18. Wagner R. 6. Amoako K. 7. Ceka J. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 20. Bobzien B. 9. Vermeij V.
Substitutes
7. Bilbija F. 22. Hansen M. 8. Kinsombi D. 26. Klaas S. 11. Michel S. 10. Okpala K. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 27. Tigges S.	29. Boeder L. 33. Daferner C. 2. Faber K. 16. Froling N. 8. Herrmann L. 30. Kutschke S. 10. Lemmer J. 37. Mesenholer D. (G) 28. Risch S.
Coaches
Kettemann R.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Vermeij V. ⚽, Sterner J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
46', Batzner N. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
60', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Tigges S. ⚽, Gotze F. (A),
72', Bobzien B. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
72', Ceka J. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
72', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Tigges S. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
86', Amoako K. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
86', Muller R. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
86', Marino S. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
90', Okpala K. 🟨,
90+1', Kutschke S. 🟨,
90+2', Baur M. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.

Paderborn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dynamo Dresden has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Paderborn is the team to beat.

There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Inactive) Copado L. (Muscle Injury) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Bethke E. (Muscle Injury) Grill L. (Knee Injury) Sapina V. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Ceka J. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	SG Dynamo Dresden	7	1	2	4	9:15	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
14.03.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Paderborn - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kaiserslautern - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Paderborn - Hertha Berlin	5:2 ✺
15.02.26	Bochum - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWWT
- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.26	Dynamo Dresden - Preußen Münster	6:0 ✺
08.03.26	Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden	3:3 ✺
27.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Hannover - Dynamo Dresden	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn	1:2
Club Friendly
13.07.23	Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden	0:2
German 2 Bundesliga
12.02.22	Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden	0:0
29.08.21	Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn	0:3
German DFB Pokal
06.08.21	Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
19.05.19	Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn	3:1
15.12.18	Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden	3:0

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