Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 7

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday


	Fortuna Köln		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	1.88
	3.5	3.6	1.95
	3.64	3.65	2
	3.58	3.58	1.89	Watch
	3.4	3.55	1.92
	3.5	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.23)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)	1.93 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Köln
26.5%

Draw
25.8%

Duisburg
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

24.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

23.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Köln's form might have worsened.

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duisburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duisburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fortuna Köln - Duisburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Köln won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fortuna Köln won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Köln won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
30.08.24	Wuppertal - Fortuna Köln	3:1 ✺
23.08.24	Fortuna Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	4:2 ✺
18.08.24	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	1:2 ✺
09.08.24	Fortuna Köln - Düren	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Bocholt - Fortuna Köln	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWW
- MSV Duisburg
German Regionalliga West
30.08.24	Duisburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	2:2 ✺
23.08.24	Paderborn II - Duisburg	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Duisburg - Eintracht Hohkeppel	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Duisburg	0:2 ✺
03.08.24	Duisburg - Türkspor Dortmund	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.07.23	Fortuna Köln - Duisburg	0:1
07.01.22	Fortuna Köln - Duisburg	2:2
German 3 Bundesliga
13.05.17	Fortuna Köln - Duisburg	0:3
10.12.16	Duisburg - Fortuna Köln	2:0
21.02.15	Duisburg - Fortuna Köln	2:0
30.08.14	Fortuna Köln - Duisburg	0:1

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