Match Info

Date: 4 June 2022, Saturday


	Forward Madison		Tucson

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.25	3.65
	1.92	3.05	3.65
	1.95	3.29	3.83
	1.91	3	3.7
	1.94	3.3	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.9)	3.17 ↓ (3.26)	3.71 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
47%

Draw
28.6%

Tucson
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

27.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

31.7%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tucson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forward Madison, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucson than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Forward Madison - Tucson Predictions

Users Predictions: Forward Madison will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 0.

Forward Madison is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tucson is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tucson could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Forward Madison will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Forward Madison won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
28.05.22	Central Valley Fuego - Forward Madison	1:1 ✺
21.05.22	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	1:2 ✺
13.05.22	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
07.05.22	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	0:1 ✺
30.04.22	Forward Madison - Central Valley Fuego	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLWL
- FC Tucson
USL League One
28.05.22	South Georgia Tormenta - Tucson	0:1 ✺
15.05.22	Charlotte Independence - Tucson	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Tucson - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
30.04.22	Tucson - South Georgia Tormenta	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Tucson	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
16.04.22	Tucson - Forward Madison	1:1
23.10.21	Forward Madison - Tucson	2:2
08.05.21	Tucson - Forward Madison	1:1
03.10.20	Forward Madison - Tucson	0:0
23.09.20	Tucson - Forward Madison	2:1
27.09.19	Tucson - Forward Madison	1:1
03.08.19	Forward Madison - Tucson	1:0

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