Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Forward Madison		Central Valley Fuego

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4	5.25
	1.53	4	5
	1.53	4.09	5.27
	1.52	4.12	5.33	Watch
	1.53	3.9	4.75
	1.5	4.05	5.46	Watch
	1.49	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	4.04 ↓ (4.11)	5.21 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
60.1%

Draw
22.5%

Central Valley Fuego
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22.2%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

20.8%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Central Valley Fuego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Valley Fuego than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Forward Madison - Central Valley Fuego Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Forward Madison will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 22. Payne S. 4. Osmond M. (C) 2. Chilaka M. 16. Crull J. 8. Boyce D. 10. Mesias A. 21. Villalobos J. 17. Gebhard D. 19. Galindrez J. 9. Chaney C.	23. Avilez C. (C) 15. Torr C. 25. Yaya I. A. 4. Cromwell R. 17. Lemus O. 32. Mariona J. 8. Heckenberg C. 10. Carrera J. 3. Apollon A. 7. John-Brown S. 9. Benson Bodden D. O.
Substitutes
20. Davila A. 11. Dieye C. 12. McLaughlin G. 5. Mehl T. 6. Murphy J. 99. Sanchez M. (G) 25. Sousa F.	24. Bustamante B. 6. Dabo M. 16. Gomez E. 11. Mendiola R. 14. Vazquez Z. 19. Williams T. 1. Zuluaga A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Carrera J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Chaney C. ⚽, Crull J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', John-Brown S. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
46', Carrera J. ↓, Mendiola R. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Mariona J. ⚽, Midence A. (A),
54', Payne S. 🟨,
57', Cromwell R. 🟨,
59', Gebhard D. ↓, Prentice W. ↑,
59', Galindrez J. ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
59', Payne S. ↓, Sousa F. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Boyce D. ⚽, Prentice W. (A),
73', Mariona J. ↓, Apollon A. ↑,
75', Torr C. 🟨,
76', Dabo M. ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
78', Cromwell R. 🟥,
88', Sousa F. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+1', Yaya I. A. 🟨,
90+2', Chaney C. 🟨,
90+3', Torr C. 🟥,
90+7', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL Cup
20.07.24	Forward Madison - Lexington	1:0 ✺
USL League One
03.07.24	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
29.06.24	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL League One
20.06.24	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWT
- Central Valley Fuego
USL Cup
19.07.24	Central Valley Fuego - Spokane Velocity	1:0 ✺
USL League One
03.07.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Central Valley Fuego	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
29.06.24	Central Valley Fuego - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
15.06.24	Central Valley Fuego - Richmond Kickers	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
08.06.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Central Valley Fuego	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
29.03.24	Central Valley Fuego - Forward Madison	0:3
26.08.23	Central Valley Fuego - Forward Madison	4:4
08.07.23	Forward Madison - Central Valley Fuego	1:0
03.06.23	Forward Madison - Central Valley Fuego	1:2
21.09.22	Central Valley Fuego - Forward Madison	3:0
28.05.22	Central Valley Fuego - Forward Madison	1:1
30.04.22	Forward Madison - Central Valley Fuego	0:1

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