Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)


	Forward Madison		Tulsa

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.05	Watch
	2.26	3.25	3
	2.24	3.5	2.81	Watch
	3	3.3	2.1
	2.34	3.23	3.02	Watch
	2.26	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (3.26)	3.28 ↓ (3.59)	2.7 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
37.4%

Draw
28.2%

Tulsa
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

25.7%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forward Madison's performance.

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tulsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Forward Madison - Tulsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Finnerty O. (G) 25. Sousa F. 5. Mehl T. 21. Carrera J. 16. Crull J. (C) 77. Brown N. 22. Munjoma E. 8. Boyce D. 6. Murphy J. 19. Galindrez J. 9. McLaughlin G.	31. Dowd B. (G) 14. Rogers A. 15. Batista L. 4. Pierre D. 20. Seagrist P. 5. Marcos Serrato 26. Colli G. 2. Damm O. 22. Lukic S. 9. Calheira T. 10. Elmedkhar K.
Substitutes
24. Bartman N. 20. Bell L. 7. Dietrich J. 11. Garcia C. 17. Gebhard D. 36. Lapsley W. (G) 10. Mesias A.	88. Berner J. (G) 77. Bettache F. 91. Cissoko A. 6. Diallo B. 17. Laszo E. 47. St.Clair H. 19. Stojanovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Damm O. ⚽, Calheira T. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Elmedkhar K. ⚽, Lukic S. (A),
38', Pierre D. 🟨,
45+3', Lukic S. 🟨,
45+7', McLaughlin G. ↓, Gebhard D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Boyce D. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
51', 0 - 3, Calheira T. (Pen),
58', Elmedkhar K. 🟨,
63', Damm O. ↓, St.Clair H. ↑,
63', Lukic S. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
63', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
63', Brown N. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
64', Sousa F. ↓, Bartman N. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Bartman N. ⚽,
72', Diallo B. 🟨,
76', Murphy J. 🟨,
82', Pierre D. ↓, Cissoko A. ↑,
84', Murphy J. ↓, Dietrich J. ↑,
88', Diallo B. 🟨,
90+2', Mesias A. 🟨,
90+5', Garcia C. 🟨,

Preview

Tulsa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tulsa will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
29.03.25	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
20.03.25	Forward Madison - Duluth	5:1 ✺
USL League One
15.03.25	Naples - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	0:1 penalties ✺
02.11.24	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
28.03.25	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Tulsa - North Carolina	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.25	Tulsa Athletic - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
15.03.25	Tulsa - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Phoenix Rising - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WLWWW

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