Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 11

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Francana		Rio Preto

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.68	2.68
	2.73	2.6	2.82
	2.78	2.68	2.78	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.63
	2.71	3.02	2.71
	2.8	2.9	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)	2.78 ↓ (2.95)	2.68 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francana
33.2%

Draw
32.7%

Rio Preto
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

30.1%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francana than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Francana - Rio Preto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Renato (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Dudu Pedrotti ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Leite A. ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Francana has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rio Preto is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Francana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rio Preto could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Francana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Francana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.03.26	Paulista - Francana	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Francana - Rio Branco de Americana	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bandeirante - Francana	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Francana - EC São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	União Barbarense - Francana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLL
- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.26	Bandeirante - Rio Preto	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Rio Preto - Paulista	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Rio Preto - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Rio Claro - Rio Preto	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Rio Preto - Marília	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.02.25	Rio Preto - Francana	0:1

Francana - Rio Preto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide