Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Frederiquense		EC São José Porto Alegre

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.2
	2.55	2.8	2.87
	2.6	2.55	2.95
	2.41	2.9	2.85
	2.54	2.85	3
	2.55	2.7	2.88
	2.54	2.83	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.74)	2.79 ↑ (2.78)	2.96 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederiquense
36.5%

Draw
32.7%

EC São José Porto Alegre
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.2%

32.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

26.3%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frederiquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frederiquense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Frederiquense - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8).

Frederiquense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches EC São José Porto Alegre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frederiquense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Frederiquense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Frederiquense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
27.02.22	Frederiquense - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Guarany de Bagé - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
16.02.22	Frederiquense - Grêmio	3:1 ✺
12.02.22	Aimoré - Frederiquense	2:0 ✺
09.02.22	São Luiz - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLWLL
- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
26.02.22	São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:3 ✺
20.02.22	EC São José Porto Alegre - Internacional RS	3:2 ✺
17.02.22	Juventude - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	EC São José Porto Alegre - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
10.02.22	Brasil de Pelotas - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.02.15	Frederiquense - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1

Frederiquense - EC São José Porto Alegre

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Frederiquense - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Preview

Form

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