The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Frederiquense 36.5%
Draw 32.7%
EC São José Porto Alegre 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
32.8%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
23.7%
47.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frederiquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frederiquense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Frederiquense - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8).
Frederiquense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches EC São José Porto Alegre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Frederiquense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Frederiquense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Frederiquense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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