Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Viaplay
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Freiburg		Bochum

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.1	5.5	Watch
	1.63	4.1	5
	1.65	4.2	5	Watch
	1.64	4.27	5.34
	1.65	4.3	5.27	Watch
	1.62	4.2	5	Watch
	1.66	4.45	5.28	Watch
	1.65	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.76)	4.23 ↑ (3.96)	5.17 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
58.7%

Draw
22.7%

Bochum
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24.1%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

24.1%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Freiburg - Bochum Predictions

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 37. Rosenfelder M. 3. Lienhart P. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 6. Osterhage P. 42. Doan R. 34. Rohl M. 32. Grifo V. 20. Adamu J.	27. Drewes P. (G) 15. Passlack F. 13. Medic J. 4. Masovic E. 32. Wittek M. (C) 23. Miyoshi K. 6. Sissoko I. 10. de Wit D. 19. Bero M. 9. Boadu M. 29. Broschinski M.
Substitutes
18. Dinkci E. 28. Ginter M. 27. Hofler N. 9. Holer L. 24. Huth J. (G) 33. Makengo J. 43. Ogbus B. 25. Sildillia K. 7. Weisshaupt N.	22. Balde A. 18. Bamba S. 7. Daschner L. 33. Hofmann P. 1. Horn T. (G) 11. Kwarteng M. 8. Losilla A. 14. Oermann T. 24. Pannewig M.
Coaches
Schuster J.	Zeidler P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Rohl M. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
45', 0 - 1, Boadu M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lienhart P. ↓, Ginter M. ↑,
46', Osterhage P. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Adamu J. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
61', 2 - 1, Adamu J. ⚽,
64', Miyoshi K. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
65', Broschinski M. ↓, Hofmann P. ↑,
65', Boadu M. ↓, Daschner L. ↑,
77', Bero M. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
80', Doan R. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
81', Balde A. 🟨,
82', Kwarteng M. 🟨,
87', de Wit D. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
87', Adamu J. ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,
90+5', Wittek M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 5.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Freiburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Freiburg: Ezekwem K. (Injury) Gregoritsch M. (Muscle Injury) Gulde M. (Back Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Philipp M. (Back Injury) Sildillia K. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Bochum: Bernardo (Knee Injury) Ordets I. (Shoulder Injury) Riemann M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Weisshaupt N. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Bochum: Tolba M. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
Club Friendly
06.09.24	Freiburg - Basel	6:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.09.24	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Freiburg - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.24	Osnabrück - Freiburg	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Freiburg - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWL
- VfL Bochum
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Bochum - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
31.08.24	Bochum - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	RB Leipzig - Bochum	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Jahn Regensburg - Bochum	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Le Havre - Bochum	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
10.03.24	Bochum - Freiburg	1:2
21.10.23	Freiburg - Bochum	2:1
18.02.23	Bochum - Freiburg	0:2
26.08.22	Freiburg - Bochum	1:0
16.04.22	Freiburg - Bochum	3:0
German DFB Pokal
02.03.22	Bochum - Freiburg	1:2 ET
German Bundesliga
27.11.21	Bochum - Freiburg	2:1

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