Match Info

GERMANY: DFB POKAL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Germany	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Freiburg		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5.75	Watch
	1.52	4.6	5.5
	1.52	4.75	6	Watch
	1.51	4.2	5
	1.51	4.76	5.99
	1.44	4.4	5.5
	1.51	4.6	5.75	Watch
	1.51	4.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)	4.54 ↑ (4.31)	5.61 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
62.5%

Draw
20.7%

Paderborn
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

21.8%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

21.9%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Freiburg - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Muller F. (G) 25. Sildillia K. 28. Ginter M. 5. Gulde M. 42. Doan R. 8. Eggestein M. 27. Hofler N. 7. Weisshaupt N. 20. Adamu J. 38. Gregoritsch M. 32. Grifo V. (C)	1. Boevink P. (G) 17. Curda L. 8. Kinsombi D. 16. Musliu V. 23. Obermair R. 27. Klefisch K. 30. Muslija F. (C) 13. Leipertz R. 11. Conteh S. 39. Grimaldi A. 7. Bilbija F.
Substitutes
1. Atubolu N. (G) 9. Holer L. 17. Kubler L. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 34. Rohl M. 35. Rudlin F. 4. Schmidt K.	33. Hoffmeier M. 21. Huth J. (G) 26. Klaas S. 10. Kruse M. 15. Muller T. 40. Nadj N. 36. Platte F. 31. Rohr M. 6. Schuster M.
Coaches
Streich C.	Kwasniok L.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Paderborn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Freiburg is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
29.10.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.10.23	Bačka Topola - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.10.23	Freiburg - Bochum	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Freiburg - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWLL
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
28.10.23	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Paderborn - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Eintracht Braunschweig - Paderborn	1:3 ✺
29.09.23	Paderborn - Schalke 04	3:1 ✺
22.09.23	Magdeburg - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
25.01.20	Freiburg - Paderborn	0:2
24.08.19	Paderborn - Freiburg	1:3
German 2 Bundesliga
29.04.16	Paderborn - Freiburg	1:2
22.11.15	Freiburg - Paderborn	4:1
German Bundesliga
02.05.15	Freiburg - Paderborn	1:2
06.12.14	Paderborn - Freiburg	1:1

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