Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Freiburg		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	4.75
	1.75	3.75	4.5
	1.82	3.8	4.55
	1.78	3.9	4.7
	1.78	3.81	4.7
	1.75	3.75	4.2
	1.77	3.88	4.65
	1.8	3.8	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.79)	3.81 ↓ (3.86)	4.54 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
53.9%

Draw
25.1%

Olympiacos Piraeus
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

26.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Olympiacos Piraeus aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	9.7%	6.5%

Freiburg - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 25. Sildillia K. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 42. Doan R. 8. Eggestein M. 27. Hofler N. 33. Makengo J. 9. Holer L. 38. Gregoritsch M. 32. Grifo V. (C)	1. Paschalakis A. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. 74. Ntoi A. 3. Ortega F. 32. Hezze S. 15. Alexandropoulos S. 4. Camara M. 56. Podence D. 9. El Kaabi A. 7. Fortounis K. (C)
Substitutes
20. Adamu J. 54. Baur M. 5. Gulde M. 21. Muller F. (G) 34. Rohl M. 35. Rudlin F. 22. Sallai R. 7. Weisshaupt N.	21. Biel P. 20. Carvalho J. 11. El Arabi Y. 8. Iborra V. 19. Masouras G. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 18. Quini 98. Solbakken O. 88. Tzolakis K. (G)
Coaches
Streich C.	Martinez D.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Freiburg have a series of home games.

In this match Freiburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Freiburg: Gunter C. (Arm Injury) Keitel Y. (Groin Injury) Kubler L. (Toe Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Philipp M. (Shoulder Injury) Rohl M. (Leg Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Olympiacos: Leidner D. (Knee Injury) Richards O. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Sallai R. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Olympiacos: Fadiga B. (Injury) Freire N. (Muscle Injury) Porozo J. (Injury) Scarpa G. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
25.11.23	Freiburg - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Freiburg - Bačka Topola	5:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.11.23	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Freiburg - Paderborn	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLWTL
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
25.11.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panetolikos	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Asteras Tripolis - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	West Ham United - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
05.11.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK	2:4 ✺
30.10.23	OFI - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - Freiburg	2:3
27.10.22	Freiburg - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1
15.09.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Freiburg	0:3
Club Friendly
18.07.13	Freiburg - Olympiacos Piraeus	4:2

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