Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	Disney+
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	ERT Sports 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Spain	GolStadium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	True Ball Thai 3, True ID
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Freiburg		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.68	4.15	4.95	Watch
	1.67	4.13	5.09
	1.65	4.14	4.88	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.8
	1.73	4.04	4.91	Watch
	1.66	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)	3.99 ↓ (4.39)	4.91 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Freiburg
56.9%

Draw
23.8%

Darmstadt
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

21.6%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	5.6%	2.8%

Freiburg - Darmstadt Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Darmstadt (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Freiburg (2.01) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Darmstadt (4.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (33 of 36 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.64% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Darmstadt (votes: 4 - 17.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Muller F. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 37. Rosenfelder M. 30. Gunter C. 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. (C) 9. Holer L.	1. Schuhen M. (C) 6. Pfeiffer P. 17. Klefisch K. 5. Maglica M. 26. Bader M. 21. Papela M. 16. Akiyama H. 34. Corredor K. 23. Richter M. 8. Marseiler L. 7. Lidberg I.
Substitutes
20. Adamu J. 1. Atubolu N. (G) 27. Hofler N. 5. Jung A. 31. Matanovic I. 43. Ogbus B. 6. Osterhage P. 7. Scherhant D. 29. Treu P.	27. Bialek B. 30. Brunst A. (G) 44. Furukawa Y. 32. Holland F. 3. Klassen L. 19. Lakenmacher F. 2. Lopez S. 20. Vukotic A. 28. Will P.
Coaches
Schuster J.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Grifo V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Beste J. ↓, Treu P. ↑,
64', Suzuki Y. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
66', Maglica M. 🟨,
68', Bader M. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
68', Richter M. ↓, Holland F. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Holer L. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
84', Grifo V. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Manzambi J. ↓, Adamu J. ↑,
85', Marseiler L. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,
88', Maglica M. 🟨,
89', Papela M. ↓, Will P. ↑,
90', Akiyama H. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
90+3', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
90+3', Holer L. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Freiburg is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Hornby F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Muscle Injury) Irie C. (Illness) Makengo J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Lopez S. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
30.11.25	Freiburg - Mainz	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	6:2 ✺
09.11.25	Freiburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Nice - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWW
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
30.11.25	Elversberg - Darmstadt	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Hannover - Darmstadt	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.04.24	Darmstadt - Freiburg	0:1
25.11.23	Freiburg - Darmstadt	1:1
29.04.17	Darmstadt - Freiburg	3:0
10.12.16	Freiburg - Darmstadt	1:0

Upcoming Matches