Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Austria	18:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	14:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Nova Sport
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:00	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	19:00	Veikkaus TV
France	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	18:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	19:00	ERT Sports 2
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	20:00	Gotv
Malaysia	01:00	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	11:00	Disney+
New Zealand	06:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:00	SupeSport ESPN 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	17:00	DAZN / App
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	18:00	Voyo
South Africa	19:00	SupeSport ESPN 2
Spain	18:00	GolStadium
Switzerland	18:00	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	00:00	True Ball Thai 3, True ID
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+


	Freiburg		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.68	4.15	4.95	Watch
	1.67	4.13	5.09
	1.65	4.14	4.88	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.8
	1.73	4.04	4.91	Watch
	1.66	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)	3.99 ↓ (4.39)	4.91 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
56.9%

Draw
23.8%

Darmstadt
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.6%

21.6%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	5.6%	2.8%

Freiburg - Darmstadt Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Darmstadt (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Freiburg (2.01) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Darmstadt (4.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (33 of 36 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.64% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Darmstadt (votes: 4 - 17.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Muller F. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 37. Rosenfelder M. 30. Gunter C. 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. (C) 9. Holer L.	1. Schuhen M. (C) 6. Pfeiffer P. 17. Klefisch K. 5. Maglica M. 26. Bader M. 21. Papela M. 16. Akiyama H. 34. Corredor K. 23. Richter M. 8. Marseiler L. 7. Lidberg I.
Substitutes
20. Adamu J. 1. Atubolu N. (G) 27. Hofler N. 5. Jung A. 31. Matanovic I. 43. Ogbus B. 6. Osterhage P. 7. Scherhant D. 29. Treu P.	27. Bialek B. 30. Brunst A. (G) 44. Furukawa Y. 32. Holland F. 3. Klassen L. 19. Lakenmacher F. 2. Lopez S. 20. Vukotic A. 28. Will P.
Coaches
Schuster J.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Grifo V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Beste J. ↓, Treu P. ↑,
64', Suzuki Y. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
66', Maglica M. 🟨,
68', Bader M. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
68', Richter M. ↓, Holland F. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Holer L. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
84', Grifo V. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Manzambi J. ↓, Adamu J. ↑,
85', Marseiler L. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,
88', Maglica M. 🟨,
89', Papela M. ↓, Will P. ↑,
90', Akiyama H. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
90+3', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
90+3', Holer L. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Freiburg is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Hornby F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Muscle Injury) Irie C. (Illness) Makengo J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Lopez S. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
30.11.25	Freiburg - Mainz	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	6:2 ✺
09.11.25	Freiburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Nice - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWW
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
30.11.25	Elversberg - Darmstadt	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Hannover - Darmstadt	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.04.24	Darmstadt - Freiburg	0:1
25.11.23	Freiburg - Darmstadt	1:1
29.04.17	Darmstadt - Freiburg	3:0
10.12.16	Freiburg - Darmstadt	1:0

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