Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 36

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Dreisamstadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Freiburg II		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.38
	2.7	3.5	2.37
	2.65	3.4	2.38
	2.75	3.78	2.47
	2.6	3.3	2.38
	2.65	3.58	2.39	Watch
	2.6	3.35	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.7)	3.49 ↑ (3.44)	2.39 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
34.8%

Draw
26.6%

Elversberg
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26.8%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Freiburg II - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Freiburg II will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Elversberg will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 0.

Recent matches Freiburg II is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elversberg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg II won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
06.05.23	1860 München - Freiburg II	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Freiburg II - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Oldenburg - Freiburg II	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	Freiburg II - Zwickau	4:0 ✺
08.04.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Freiburg II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTWL
- SV Elversberg
German 3 Bundesliga
06.05.23	Elversberg - Bayreuth	5:2 ✺
29.04.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Duisburg - Elversberg	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Elversberg - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Osnabrück - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
12.11.22	Elversberg - Freiburg II	3:0
German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.06.21	Elversberg - Freiburg II	1:1
19.12.20	Freiburg II - Elversberg	1:1
08.12.19	Freiburg II - Elversberg	0:0
10.08.19	Elversberg - Freiburg II	0:0
06.04.19	Freiburg II - Elversberg	2:0
29.09.18	Elversberg - Freiburg II	3:2

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