Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Frome Town		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.5	2.15
	2.41	3.4	2.55
	2.59	3.61	2.49
	2.81	3.44	2.21
	2.41	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.39)	3.47 ↓ (3.66)	2.39 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frome Town
35.5%

Draw
26.3%

Chertsey Town
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

25.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

25.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frome Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Frome Town - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, McCoy O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Recent matches Frome is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chertsey is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Frome won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
29.03.25	Frome Town - Hungerford Town	0:1 ✺
25.03.25	Frome Town - Wimborne Town	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Basingstoke Town - Frome Town	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Frome Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
11.03.25	Frome Town - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLWTW
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
29.03.25	Chertsey Town - Bracknell Town	3:1 ✺
25.03.25	Chertsey Town - Taunton Town	3:3 ✺
22.03.25	Merthyr Town - Chertsey Town	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Chertsey Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Chertsey Town - Totton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
24.08.24	Chertsey Town - Frome Town	1:1

Frome Town - Chertsey Town