Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 36

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Merthyr Town		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.5	7
	1.27	5.6	7.6
	1.29	5.99	7.97
	1.24	5.85	8.25
	1.27	5.6	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.33)	5.71 ↑ (4.6)	7.68 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
72.1%

Draw
16%

Chertsey Town
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

19.5%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

18.6%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Merthyr Town - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Mazzone J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', 1 - 1, Ryan-Phillips C. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Handley T. ⚽,
78', 3 - 1, Handley T. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 17).

Merthyr is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chertsey is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chertsey could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Merthyr is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
15.03.25	Gosport Borough - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Merthyr Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Totton - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Merthyr Town - Bracknell Town	5:1 ✺
15.02.25	Wimborne Town - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWT
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
15.03.25	Chertsey Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Chertsey Town - Totton	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Basingstoke Town - Chertsey Town	1:3 ✺
04.03.25	Chertsey Town - Wimborne Town	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Gosport Borough - Chertsey Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.11.24	Chertsey Town - Merthyr Town	1:2

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