Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 42

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Frome Town		Totton

	1	X	2
	2.6	4	2.05
	2.85	4.3	1.94
	2.54	4.3	2.24
	2.74	4.1	2.19	Watch
	2.79	3.4	2.24
	2.85	4.3	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.86)	4.07 ↓ (4.18)	2.1 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frome Town
33.7%

Draw
22.6%

Totton
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

22%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

21.5%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frome Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frome Town's performance.

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Totton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frome Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Totton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Frome Town - Totton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
11', 0 - 1, Taylor E. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Blair T. ⚽,
16', 0 - 3, Taylor E. ⚽,
31', 0 - 4, Blair T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Frome is Relegated to

Totton is Qualified for Southern League Premier South (Play Offs )

Frome is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Totton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Totton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frome won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Frome won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Last Results with these Odds

Totton - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.26%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
21.04.25	Plymouth Parkway - Frome Town	0:3 ✺
18.04.25	Frome Town - Dorchester Town	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Swindon Supermarine - Frome Town	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Frome Town - Chertsey Town	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Frome Town - Hungerford Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL
- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
21.04.25	Totton - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Basingstoke Town - Totton	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Totton - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Taunton Town - Totton	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Hungerford Town - Totton	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
21.01.25	Totton - Frome Town	1:1
English FA Trophy
13.11.21	Totton - Frome Town	3:2 penalties
English Southern Premier League
15.03.14	Frome Town - Totton	1:0
12.11.13	Totton - Frome Town	0:5
12.03.13	Totton - Frome Town	2:0

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