Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 39

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Swindon Supermarine		Frome Town

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.1
	2.03	3.5	3.1
	2.01	3.73	3.33
	1.9	3.54	3.44
	2.03	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	3.21 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
45.8%

Draw
25.9%

Frome Town
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.4%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Frome Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Swindon Supermarine - Frome Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Swindon Supermarine has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Frome is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Frome have a series of home games.

Swindon Supermarine will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.7:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
05.04.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Swindon Supermarine	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Swindon Supermarine - Taunton Town	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Tiverton Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Swindon Supermarine - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Merthyr Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
05.04.25	Frome Town - Chertsey Town	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Frome Town - Hungerford Town	0:1 ✺
25.03.25	Frome Town - Wimborne Town	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Basingstoke Town - Frome Town	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Frome Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.12.24	Frome Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:0
26.01.19	Swindon Supermarine - Frome Town	0:4
20.11.18	Frome Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:2

Swindon Supermarine - Frome Town