Match Info

Date: 1 November 2021, Monday


	Frosinone		Crotone

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.9
	1.95	3.35	4	Watch
	1.93	3.3	3.8
	1.94	3.53	4.33
	1.9	3.4	4
	1.9	3.7	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.89)	3.42 ↓ (3.51)	4 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
48.9%

Draw
27.6%

Crotone
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

18.1%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frosinone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crotone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.8%	30.2%	14%

Frosinone - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 24 - 55.8%). Crotone will win (votes: 6 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 30.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 41% – 70.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Frosinone has the most likely position - 9 (7.42%), has project points - 55, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Crotone has the most likely position - 17 (11.58%), has project points - 42, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (37%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Frosinone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crotone is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Frosinone is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
28.10.21	Alessandria - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Frosinone - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Nuova Cosenza - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	Frosinone - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Reggina - Frosinone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTLT
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
28.10.21	Crotone - Benevento	0:2 ✺
22.10.21	Alessandria - Crotone	1:0 ✺
16.10.21	Crotone - Pisa	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Crotone - Ascoli	2:2 ✺
25.09.21	Nuova Cosenza - Crotone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.07.20	Crotone - Frosinone	1:0
26.12.19	Frosinone - Crotone	1:2
16.05.15	Frosinone - Crotone	3:1
24.12.14	Crotone - Frosinone	2:0

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