Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Fuenlabrada		Almería

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.05
	3.7	3.05	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.15	2.08
	3.73	3.32	2.18
	3.4	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.42	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	2.11 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
26.6%

Draw
29%

Almería
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.2%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuenlabrada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almería could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fuenlabrada - Almería Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (13.86%), has project points - 45, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Almería has the most likely position - 1 (65.32%), has project points - 83, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a good chance of promoted (86%), has a good chance of win league (65%).

Recent matches Fuenlabrada is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almería in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Almería could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Almería will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Alzira - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.11.21	Sporting de Gijón - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
19.11.21	Fuenlabrada - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
13.11.21	Valladolid - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
06.11.21	Fuenlabrada - Eibar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTTLT
- UD Almería
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Águilas - Almería	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.11.21	Almería - Huesca	0:0 ✺
20.11.21	Almería - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
14.11.21	Ibiza - Almería	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Almería - Burgos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.02.21	Fuenlabrada - Almería	1:1
24.10.20	Almería - Fuenlabrada	3:0
22.02.20	Almería - Fuenlabrada	0:0
15.12.19	Fuenlabrada - Almería	2:2

Upcoming Matches