Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Ibiza		Almería

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.5
	2.7	3.05	2.75	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.55
	2.85	3.27	2.7
	3.3	3.25	2.15	Watch
	2.8	3.18	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.19)	3.16 ↓ (3.4)	2.56 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
33.4%

Draw
29.8%

Almería
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.2%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

21.4%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almería could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.5%	36.6%	43.9%

Ibiza - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 8 - 19.5%). Almería will win (votes: 18 - 43.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 36.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 28.7% – 59.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 14 (6.48%), has project points - 54, has currently - 22, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Almería has the most likely position - 1 (57.03%), has project points - 82, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a good chance of promoted (80%), has a good chance of win league (57%).

Ibiza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Almería is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ibiza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
07.11.21	Real Sociedad B - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
04.11.21	Ibiza - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
01.11.21	Alcorcón - Ibiza	0:2 ✺
23.10.21	Ibiza - Fuenlabrada	3:1 ✺
20.10.21	Valladolid - Ibiza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTWWT
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
07.11.21	Almería - Burgos	2:0 ✺
02.11.21	Sporting de Gijón - Almería	0:1 ✺
29.10.21	Almería - Leganés	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Mirandés - Almería	1:4 ✺
21.10.21	Almería - Real Sociedad B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW

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