Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Fuenlabrada		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.1	2.87	3.3
	2.13	2.6	3.25
	2.23	2.94	3.75
	2.2	2.88	3.51	Watch
	2.26	2.94	3.47
	2.13	2.6	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.37)	2.8 ↑ (2.68)	3.4 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
41.5%

Draw
32.1%

Atlético Sanluqueño
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

33%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

31.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuenlabrada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Fuenlabrada - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sanluqueño will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Parcero L. (G) 17. Ouacharaf B. 5. Alba D. 3. Barbu 14. Barbosa A. 8. Ruiz Fer 10. Galindo A. 6. Alvaro Garcia 15. Moyano A. 7. Manu 9. Omoigui C.	1. Perez S. (G) 18. Kikin 5. Puerto A. 24. Riera R. 3. Martinez A. 14. El Arbaoui Y. 15. Cuevas A. 10. Vacas L. 11. Guti A. 9. Valino A. 7. Colau
Substitutes
11. Abde 16. Aguza S. 13. Bloch F. (G) 20. Casas I. 23. Chang-Sang J. 19. Faure I. 22. Javi Curras 4. Mauro M. 21. Nene 12. Pinan A.	30. Bouare G. 16. Cabrera J. 6. Calderon M. 8. Carbonell P. 21. Feria J. 2. Garcia A. 13. Garcia-Alejo R. (G) 26. Garcia D. 22. Gonzalez C. 17. Pavon A. 4. Vega A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Vacas L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', Galindo A. ↓, Aguza S. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Aguza S. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Valino A. ⚽, Guti A. (A),
61', Guti A. 🟨,
62', Alvaro Garcia 🟨,
64', Riera R. ↓, Pavon A. ↑,
64', Cuevas A. ↓, Feria J. ↑,
70', Alvaro Garcia ↓, Abde ↑,
74', 🟨,
77', Colau ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
77', Vacas L. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Moyano A. ⚽,
82', Barbu 🟨,
83', Abde ↓, Faure I. ↑,
85', Garcia D. 🟨,
85', Manu 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Fuenlabrada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sanluqueño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sanluqueño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sanluqueño have a series of home games.

Fuenlabrada will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.01.25	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Fuenlabrada - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Mérida AD - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Fuenlabrada - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Sevilla B - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLTT
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.01.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Intercity - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cádiz	1:4 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.12.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Hércules	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.10.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Fuenlabrada	2:1

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