Match Info

Date: 4 September 2021, Saturday


	Cartagena		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.6
	2.3	2.85	3.6	Watch
	2.31	2.8	3.45
	2.39	2.9	3.77
	2.25	2.8	3.6	Watch
	2.35	2.76	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.29)	2.83 ↑ (2.81)	3.62 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
40.7%

Draw
33.3%

Real Sociedad B
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

33.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

22.4%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	64.3%	14.3%

Cartagena - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.6% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Cartagena has the most likely position - 16 (5.96%), has project points - 52, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (23%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Real Sociedad B has the most likely position - 11 (5.83%), has project points - 55, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Recent matches Cartagena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Sociedad B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cartagena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cartagena will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
30.08.21	Zaragoza - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
22.08.21	Huesca - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.21	Cartagena - Racing Cartagena MM	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
16.08.21	Cartagena - Almería	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.21	Cartagena - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLLW
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
29.08.21	Real Sociedad B - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Lugo - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
14.08.21	Real Sociedad B - Leganés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	0:0 ✺
28.07.21	Sporting de Gijón - Real Sociedad B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TTWTW

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