The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fuenlabrada 48.2%
Draw 31.1%
Amorebieta 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
26.4%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.4%
21.3%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuenlabrada's form might have worsened.
Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+20.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amorebieta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fuenlabrada - Amorebieta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation).
Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 15 (6.27%), has project points - 54, has currently - 14, has a chance of relegated (18%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Amorebieta has the most likely position - 22 (16.56%), has project points - 44, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Fuenlabrada is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Amorebieta is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Fuenlabrada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Fuenlabrada is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.