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Current Win Probability
Leonesa 45.2%
Draw 32.3%
Ponferradina 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.7%
27%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
26%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leonesa's form might have worsened.
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Leonesa - Ponferradina Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 21. Artola J. 16. Maestre S. 14. Bicho 8. Barri 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M.
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 5. Lancho J. 18. Ramon A. 15. Bustos A. 24. Doue M. 9. Cabanzon Y. 22. Esquerdo V. 11. Mula A. 21. Cortes J.
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 7. Calderon C. 19. Escobar A. 12. Ortega G. 22. Pibe 6. Presa K. 4. Rodri Suarez 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V. 11. Samanes S.
8. Abelenda B. 2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 20. Costa A. 6. Fernandez B. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 19. Lopez A. 16. Lozano M. 3. Novoa G. 10. Valle B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Mula A. 🟥,
42', Maestre S. 🟨,
45+1', Carrique T. 🟨,
45+1', Martinez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Maestre S. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
56', Calderon C. 🟨,
56', 🟨,
59', Doue M. ↓, Lozano M. ↑,
65', Ramon A. 🟨,
66', Artola J. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
67', Satrustegui E. 🟨,
70', Bustos A. ↓, Novoa G. ↑,
73', Cortes J. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
73', Novoa G. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
73', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Chacon L. ⚽,
77', Lancho J. 🟨,
80', Bicho ↓, Presa K. ↑,
80', Fornos Q. ↓, Rodri Suarez ↑,
84', Justo M. ↓, Ruiz V. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Escobar A. ⚽,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1.
Leonesa in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Ponferradina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Leonesa is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 0.9:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.3:0.3).
Spain
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Banuz M. (G) 
Garcia V. 
Carrique T. 
Sibille K. 
