Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)

Referee: Villanueva J. I. (Esp)


	Fuenlabrada		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.95
	3.8	3.45	1.95
	3.45	3.55	1.96
	3.76	3.67	2.04
	3.4	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.92	3.48	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.83)	3.49 ↑ (3.03)	2 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
26.1%

Draw
27%

Sporting de Gijón
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

31.7%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

33.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	13.3%	70%

Fuenlabrada - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 21 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (100%), has project points - 34, has currently - 32, was already of relegated.

Sporting de Gijón has the most likely position - 17 (42.21%), has project points - 48, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 26, very small importance 8, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Sporting de Gijón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
14.05.22	Lugo - Fuenlabrada	1:3 ✺
07.05.22	Fuenlabrada - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
01.05.22	Amorebieta - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
23.04.22	Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina	2:3 ✺
17.04.22	Tenerife - Fuenlabrada	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLL
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
15.05.22	Sporting de Gijón - Girona	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Huesca - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
01.05.22	Sporting de Gijón - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
25.04.22	Almería - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Sporting de Gijón - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.11.21	Sporting de Gijón - Fuenlabrada	1:1
24.05.21	Fuenlabrada - Sporting de Gijón	0:0
11.01.21	Sporting de Gijón - Fuenlabrada	2:1
25.01.20	Sporting de Gijón - Fuenlabrada	1:0
06.10.19	Fuenlabrada - Sporting de Gijón	2:0

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