Match Info

Date: 23 September 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Galech I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	Canal+ Family
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Canal+ Sport 5
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Sporting de Gijón		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.94	3.3	4
	1.94	3.25	3.9
	2	3.38	4.27
	1.78	3.3	4.8	Watch
	1.97	3.3	4	Watch
	1.97	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)	3.29 ↑ (3.24)	4.12 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
48.7%

Draw
28.5%

Ibiza
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

29.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

28.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.2%	15.3%	13.6%

Sporting de Gijón - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 42 - 71.2%). Ibiza will win (votes: 8 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 59.6% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 18).

Sporting de Gijón has the most likely position - 7 (6.14%), has project points - 58, has currently - 8, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 21 (6.81%), has project points - 51, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, small importance 29, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Sporting de Gijón is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting de Gijón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
17.09.22	Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	0:2 ✺
03.09.22	Ponferradina - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
27.08.22	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Sporting de Gijón - FC Andorra	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWTW
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
17.09.22	Real Oviedo - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Ibiza - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Huesca - Ibiza	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Ibiza - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
22.08.22	Ponferradina - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.05.22	Sporting de Gijón - Ibiza	0:1
18.12.21	Ibiza - Sporting de Gijón	0:2

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