The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amorebieta 51.4%
Draw 27.6%
Fuenlabrada 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
29.9%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
29.6%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amorebieta's performance.
Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fuenlabrada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amorebieta that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fuenlabrada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.9%
10.5%
10.5%
Amorebieta - Fuenlabrada Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Amorebieta: 60.6% – 97.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium.
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).
Amorebieta has the most likely position - 19 (47.75%), has project points - 41, has currently - 34, has a good chance of relegated (86%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (72.67%), has project points - 34, has currently - 29, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has small quality25, small importance20, small match rating22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0.
Recent matches Amorebieta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fuenlabrada has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Amorebieta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Amorebieta is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
Watch
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