Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Fuenlabrada		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	2	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.9
	4	3.35	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.35	1.95
	4.14	3.37	2.04
	4	3.1	2	Watch
	4	3.36	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (2.84)	3.35 ↑ (2.98)	1.98 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
24.2%

Draw
28.1%

Valladolid
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

30.9%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

22.1%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuenlabrada's form might have worsened.

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valladolid's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Fuenlabrada - Valladolid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (24.34%), has project points - 42, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Valladolid has the most likely position - 1 (32.08%), has project points - 77, has currently - 47, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a good chance of promoted (66%), has a chance of win league (32%).

Fuenlabrada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valladolid is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fuenlabrada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Valladolid have a series of home games.

In this match Valladolid is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
30.01.22	Cartagena - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
22.01.22	Fuenlabrada - Las Palmas	3:2 ✺
09.01.22	Girona - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.22	Fuenlabrada - Cádiz	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Fuenlabrada - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
28.01.22	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Zaragoza - Valladolid	0:0 ✺
08.01.22	Valladolid - Burgos	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.22	Valladolid - Betis	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Valladolid - Leganés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.11.21	Valladolid - Fuenlabrada	3:0

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