Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Cartagena		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.7
	1.95	3.15	4.3	Watch
	1.96	3.2	3.9
	2.01	3.27	4.45
	1.9	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.98	3.38	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.83)	3.21 ↓ (3.28)	4.11 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
48%

Draw
29.2%

Fuenlabrada
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

22.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cartagena - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Cartagena has the most likely position - 8 (9.68%), has project points - 60, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 20 (20.21%), has project points - 43, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (58%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Cartagena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fuenlabrada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fuenlabrada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fuenlabrada have a series of home games.

In this match Cartagena is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
24.01.22	Real Sociedad B - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
08.01.22	Cartagena - Huesca	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.22	Cartagena - Valencia	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Almería - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
19.12.21	Cartagena - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLLWW
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
22.01.22	Fuenlabrada - Las Palmas	3:2 ✺
09.01.22	Girona - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.22	Fuenlabrada - Cádiz	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Fuenlabrada - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
19.12.21	Fuenlabrada - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.09.21	Fuenlabrada - Cartagena	2:1
02.05.21	Fuenlabrada - Cartagena	2:1
17.10.20	Cartagena - Fuenlabrada	1:1

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