Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
El Salvador	15:00	TCS GO
Mexico	15:00	FOX Sports


	Fuerte San Francisco		Atlético Balboa

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.20	2.65
	2.38	2.95	2.75
	2.41	3.25	2.81
	2.45	3.23	2.85	Watch
	2.35	3.05	2.75
	2.35	3.05	2.71
	2.41	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.55)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)	2.76 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuerte San Francisco
38.1%

Draw
29.1%

Atlético Balboa
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

27.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Atlético Balboa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Balboa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Fuerte San Francisco - Atlético Balboa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Salazar C. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Landazuri V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 1 - 2, Hernandez C. ⚽,
77', Salazar C. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Hernandez J. J. 🟥,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 12th and 10th).

Fuerte has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Atlético Balboa is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Fuerte could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Fuerte has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Atletico Balboa	17	3	5	9	16:28	-12	14
12	Fuerte San Francisco	17	2	6	9	14:29	-15	12

Last Results with these Odds

Fuerte San Francisco - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.24%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
17.10.26	Isidro Metapán - Fuerte San Francisco	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Cacahuatique	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1 ✺
01.10.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:3 ✺
27.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWTLT
- Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Primera Division
18.10.26	Atlético Balboa - Águila	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Atlético Balboa - CD FAS	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Isidro Metapán - Atlético Balboa	3:2 ✺
29.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Cacahuatique	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Atlético Balboa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
23.08.26	Atlético Balboa - Fuerte San Francisco	1:0

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