Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Fuerte San Francisco		CD Dragón

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.08	3	3.5
	2.14	3.13	3.6	Watch
	2.21	3.36	3.15
	2.08	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.09)	3.12 ↑ (3.03)	3.4 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuerte San Francisco
43.5%

Draw
29.5%

CD Dragón
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

30.2%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuerte San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

CD Dragón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuerte San Francisco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Dragón than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Fuerte San Francisco - CD Dragón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Ortiz C. ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuerte won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Fuerte will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Fuerte won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Fuerte won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
30.03.25	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco	2:2 ✺
26.03.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Cacahuatique	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Municipal Limeño - Fuerte San Francisco	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Isidro Metapán	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWLL
- CD Dragón
El Salvador Primera Division
30.03.25	CD Dragón - Alianza San Miguel	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Águila - CD Dragón	4:1 ✺
23.03.25	CD Dragón - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:4 ✺
15.03.25	CD FAS - CD Dragón	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - CD Dragón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
09.02.25	CD Dragón - Fuerte San Francisco	0:1
17.11.24	Fuerte San Francisco - CD Dragón	3:1
15.09.24	CD Dragón - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1
21.04.24	CD Dragón - Fuerte San Francisco	3:2
18.02.24	Fuerte San Francisco - CD Dragón	0:1
15.11.23	CD Dragón - Fuerte San Francisco	2:1
20.09.23	Fuerte San Francisco - CD Dragón	2:1

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