Match Info

J3 League - Round 23

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Toho (Fukushima)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Fukushima United		Tochigi City

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.8	1.57	Watch
	4.65	3.65	1.6	Watch
	5.41	4.3	1.54
	4.77	4.11	1.61	Watch
	4.6	3.7	1.57
	4.92	3.64	1.61	Watch
	3.65	3.84	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (3.65)	3.86 ↑ (3.84)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fukushima United
19.6%

Draw
23.6%

Tochigi City
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

23.3%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

22.8%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Fukushima United - Tochigi City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ueda T. (G) 28. Suzu N. 17. Fujitani T. 25. Toma H. 3. Matsunagane Y. 7. Harigaya T. 30. Kano K. 6. Uehata U. 14. Nakamura T. 40. Higuchi H. 10. Mori K.	31. Aizawa P. (G) 22. Suzuki H. 42. Jonjic M. 15. Sato Y. 5. Okui R. 10. Okaniwa Y. 20. Tosa R. 14. Sekino G. 77. Tanaka P. J. 90. Utaka P. 23. Yoshida A.
Substitutes
23. Anzai T. 11. Ashibe K. 20. Jojo K. 39. Nakagawa S. (G) 55. Shibata T. 9. Shimizu K. 2. Yamada M. 8. Yoshinaga H. 37. Yui K.	1. Harada Y. (G) 33. Inui T. 16. Kato J. 28. Konishi K. 8. Mori T. 13. Oshima T. 79. Saito K. 40. Suzuki K. 26. Utsugi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Okaniwa Y. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Toma H. ⚽, Uehata U. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nakamura T. ↓, Shimizu K. ↑,
52', Tosa R. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Tanaka P. J. ⚽, Utaka P. (A),
63', Higuchi H. ↓, Ashibe K. ↑,
70', Tanaka P. J. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
70', Utaka P. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
70', Yoshida A. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
73', Kano K. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
73', Suzu N. ↓, Shibata T. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Uehata U. ⚽, Shimizu K. (A),
84', Suzuki H. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
84', Tosa R. ↓, Oshima T. ↑,
88', Uehata U. ↓, Yoshinaga H. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Fukushima United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tochigi City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Tochigi City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tochigi City is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fukushima United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fukushima United
Japan J3 League
26.07.25	Kochi United - Fukushima United	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Fukushima United - Ryūkyū	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	Sagamihara - Fukushima United	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Fukushima United	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Fukushima United - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWLL
- Tochigi City FC
Japan J3 League
26.07.25	Tochigi City - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Tochigi City - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tochigi City	1:3 ✺
05.07.25	Tochigi City - Ryūkyū	3:2 ✺
28.06.25	Tochigi City - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
06.04.25	Tochigi City - Fukushima United	2:2

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