Match Info

J3 League - Round 20

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagamihara		Fukushima United

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.3	3.7
	1.92	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.04	3.68	3.3
				Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.75
	2.05	3.47	3.42	Watch
	1.87	3.46	3.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.04)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	3.52 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
47.4%

Draw
26.7%

Fukushima United
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.8%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26.2%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Sagamihara - Fukushima United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Baumann N. (G) 3. Pytlik K. 33. Tokida M. 2. Kato D. 18. Miki K. 4. Shimakawa T. 16. Takano R. 24. Sugimoto R. 27. Nishiyama T. 23. Kato T. 11. Muto Y.	22. Yoshimaru K. (G) 28. Suzu N. 25. Toma H. 2. Yamada M. 3. Matsunagane Y. 6. Uehata U. 20. Jojo K. 7. Harigaya T. 14. Nakamura T. 40. Higuchi H. 10. Mori K.
Substitutes
97. Fujinuma T. 22. Fukui K. 99. Ismaila O. 15. Maeda T. 1. Miura M. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 14. Takagi A. 5. Tashiro M. 6. Tokunaga Y.	23. Anzai T. 38. Awano K. 17. Fujitani T. 15. Iijima R. 30. Kano K. 9. Shimizu K. 1. Ueda T. (G) 18. Yajima K. 8. Yoshinaga H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Mori K. ⚽, Suzu N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nakamura T. ↓, Shimizu K. ↑,
58', Mori K. 🟨,
60', Kato T. ↓, Takagi A. ↑,
70', Harigaya T. ↓, Kano K. ↑,
70', Jojo K. ↓, Yoshinaga H. ↑,
70', Muto Y. ↓, Ismaila O. ↑,
70', Miki K. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
76', Shimakawa T. 🟨,
81', Takano R. ↓, Fujinuma T. ↑,
81', Higuchi H. ↓, Yajima K. ↑,
81', Sugimoto R. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
84', Nishiyama T. 🟨,
90', Suzu N. ↓, Fujitani T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 3.

Sagamihara is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fukushima United has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fukushima United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sagamihara is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Fukushima United - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.76%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
06.07.25	Gifu - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
21.06.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Sagamihara - Kochi United	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Júbilo Iwata - Sagamihara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TWTTW
- Fukushima United
Japan J3 League
05.07.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Fukushima United	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Fukushima United - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Osaka - Fukushima United	7:1 ✺
15.06.25	Fukushima United - Tochigi	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Fukushima United	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
01.06.25	Fukushima United - Sagamihara	3:3
27.10.24	Fukushima United - Sagamihara	2:3
13.04.24	Sagamihara - Fukushima United	1:0
24.09.23	Fukushima United - Sagamihara	1:1
12.03.23	Sagamihara - Fukushima United	2:1
30.08.22	Sagamihara - Fukushima United	1:3
17.04.22	Fukushima United - Sagamihara	1:0

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